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Thursday, December 27, 2007

Fix the Problem

On another forum, thebizneverloses suggests these knick alternatives:
Scenario 1 - Playoffs or Bust
1. Trade Curry and Lee for a big man that complements (and maybe even compliments) Z-Bo. Let's say JO. Or, trade youthful assets for Ron Artest, and live with the Curry/ZBo fiasco
Short-term impact - team wins enough to just miss the playoffs and gets 10th pick overall. It will be too late to make a move, even in the East.
Long-term impact - probably same thing for the next couple seasons, presuming JO stays. Maybe with Artest and a follow-up deal that sends Curry somewhere for someone that can play next to JO, Isiah can dream about the playoffs next year, which won't happen with Marbury around anyway.
Likelihood - slim. Can't see Isiah making that mistake this late in the season, and I can't see Lee being shipped out

Scenario 2 - Rebuild by default
2. Ride this out, hope to get a top-3 pick
Short-term impact - Major infighting. Curry will lash out. Marbury might. Crawford and Z-Bo will play like they did last night - selfishly shooting all night in a losing cause, but getting away with it for lack of other options. 25-35 win season.
Long-term impact - If it's a top 3 pick, the team at least gets a new signature player. Ideally a point. If the Knicks pick in the middle of the lottery, there's Jared Blayless or Chase Budinger to look at in the backcourt, which will probably lack the same cachet, but will still help.
Likelihood - high. The path of least resistance at this point seems to lead here, especially with Isiah and Dolan's high threshold for turmoil.

Scenario 3 - Full rebuild
3. Trade as many assets as possible for more picks (i.e. trade Z-Bo or Curry and Nate to Sacto for their bad contracts and their draft pick. Or target Chicago with a similar deal)
Short-term impact - I honestly can't see the Knicks winning any less games this way. Probably headed for the same 25-35 wins
Long-term impact - Another losing season or two following this one, but at least a few chances to land a blue-chip prospect or two to show for it
Likelihood - low

Scenario 4 - "Rebuild on the fly" Redux
4. Panic trade of our pick this summer along with the necessary contracts and youths for a presumptive savior. Maybe Tracy McGrady, maybe Jason Kidd or (shudder) Vince Carter.
Short-term impact - tough to say, but likely outside chance of the playoffs next year, but still unlikely unless Marbury is replaced and the Curry/ZBo pairing is broken up
Long-term impact - contend for the playoffs for a year or two, then team slides into the late-Layden era morass of aging veterans and few long-term assets
Likelihood -medium
May I suggest a fifth alternative and that is;

Just Fix the Problem

I'm not assuming the draft will give us a pick we want or that that pick will actually pan out. And I don't care if we make the playoffs or not. I just want a balanced team to develop here without wishing for magic solutions.

We aren't going to sign a superstar free-agent anytime soon so we'll have to develop somebody we have or can acquire. I'm okay with that.

So what's the problem? It's not , Zach AND Curry. It is Curry! Ship this guy out! I believe Jerome James will play more effectively than Curry ever will. Why?

Because running the offense through Curry is a waste of time. Curry's stats will look good but we won't win. And asking Curry to play 'D' is like asking James Dolan to think - ain't happenin'.

Job #1; Move Curry. Job#2; Acquire Andre Miller.

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Necessities

Ye Newe Glory-torium

Here, dear readers, is the final resting place of all weary Knicks fans. Yes, here is where one comes when the Triangle refuses to have three sides, when biting one's lip from losing to win later is one loss too far,or when said fan simply hits 'rock' bottom. In short, "the ship be" eternally "sinking" here. Welcome aboard, rearrange the deck chairs as you please.

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