The most persistent rumor going around is something that must be coming out of Houston as a smokescreen. And its the Tracy McGrady, Cook, and Dorsey to NY for Harrington, JJ, Hill, a future #1 and so on (and many variants have 2 #1 picks leaving one way or another).
My major concern with this trade is that the cap space utopians imagine signing a team of All-Stars this summer thanks to losing JJ's and Hill's salary and being able to deep six T-Mac into retirement or a minor contract. I don't buy any of this for a second but it persists because its hard to be against something so absurdly desirable.
Pragmatically, cap space doesn't hurt but I'm a fan of JJ's play this year. Harrington can score points in a hurry. Hill will hold value for years to come. Treating all three of the major components of the trade like chopped liver is not only insulting but foolish. T-Mac is a high risk venture if Walsh and D'An truly believe he's got something in the tank.
Houston is playing its card, such as they are, right. They are acting as though they have no reason to trade T-Mac - how bad do you want him? Bad enough to give us this past year's #8 selection?
Not enough.
How about the 2011 first rounder?
Not enough.
...and so on.
If we're giving up first rounders then Houston better be taking Eddie Curry off our hands at those prices.
On the incoming side, Dorsey, a monster in college, has acted like an entitlement prom queen in the NBA. Brian Cook has settled into a comfortable minor bench player. Neither worth trading for unless you were getting a pre-injuries T-Mac.
If Houston has no use for JJ then take Curry, why waste good JJ on bad judgment? After all Houston is interested in the picks, not the players.
But I think Houston is being shrewd and using high-stress, high-pressure tactics to break Walsh's back. A KM, a fair trade might look more like T-Mac, Cook, Dorsey, and Houston's 2010 #1 for Harrington, JJ, Darko, Douglas and the 2010 Denver second-rounder NY owns.
Houston STILL makes out like bandits.
Let's turn our attention to the Luke Ridnour rumors. There was some talk of Ridnour for Duhon which the Knicks should do in a heartbeat but it would have to be for Duhon, a second-rounder and cash to make it worthwhile for the Bucks.
Our other PG interest, Augustine could probably be had by giving up Hill. Here, the trade makes sense. Charlotte gets an inexpensive big, NY gets their PG and the trade makes some sense.
That brings us to N8.
N8 will accept a trade to Orlando. Denver needs some size. Bass is unhappy in Orlando.
This trade works straight up; Hill to Denver, Bass and Lawson to NY, N8 and Petro to Orlando.
Now it might require some cash and a second rounder or two to make this work in reality but hey we're only speculating.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
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